Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.112343 0.129948 0.149387 0.172444 0.199048 0.228784 0.264554
2025-12-07 0.081967 0.104830 0.132673 0.169071 0.215418 0.272494 0.348198
2025-12-14 0.065841 0.090330 0.122259 0.166935 0.227872 0.308162 0.422165
2025-12-21 0.056306 0.081801 0.116948 0.168930 0.243920 0.348318 0.505015
2025-12-28 0.050888 0.077689 0.116461 0.176625 0.267732 0.400751 0.610232
2026-01-04 0.045841 0.073161 0.114427 0.181274 0.286990 0.448054 0.712835
2026-01-11 0.041583 0.069115 0.112371 0.185246 0.305156 0.495081 0.819801
2026-01-18 0.037523 0.064757 0.109136 0.186674 0.319025 0.536337 0.921628
2026-01-25 0.033376 0.059665 0.103997 0.184135 0.325712 0.566132 1.007145
2026-02-01 0.029262 0.054081 0.097307 0.178003 0.325268 0.583425 1.072427
2026-02-08 0.027060 0.051613 0.095702 0.180557 0.340241 0.628714 1.191997
2026-02-15 0.024870 0.048884 0.093282 0.181250 0.351716 0.668622 1.305618
2026-02-22 0.023130 0.046851 0.092004 0.184105 0.367882 0.719460 1.446902
2026-03-01 0.020805 0.043399 0.087647 0.180503 0.371157 0.746237 1.544558
2026-03-08 0.018909 0.040574 0.084181 0.178223 0.376695 0.777791 1.655001
2026-03-15 0.017668 0.038956 0.082950 0.180352 0.391428 0.829171 1.811896
2026-03-22 0.017105 0.038718 0.084531 0.188566 0.419836 0.911563 2.043656
2026-03-29 0.016293 0.037831 0.084623 0.193528 0.441689 0.982240 2.257545
2026-04-05 0.015486 0.036857 0.084412 0.197768 0.462352 1.052359 2.477779
2026-04-12 0.014541 0.035454 0.083084 0.199291 0.476951 1.110420 2.676619
2026-04-19 0.013388 0.033419 0.080093 0.196582 0.481342 1.145655 2.825577
2026-04-26 0.012099 0.030904 0.075706 0.190036 0.475828 1.157230 2.918780
2026-05-03 0.011496 0.030026 0.075136 0.192763 0.493233 1.224941 3.157446